The new bottom billion
960 million or 72% of the world’s poor live in middle income countries
| November 29, 2025
960 million or 72% of the world’s poor live in middle income countries
Popular understandings of global poverty are based on the false premise that poor people all live in poor countries. In fact, three-quarters of the world’s 1.3 billion poor people reside in middle-income countries such as India, China, Nigeria, Pakistan and Indonesia. Only a quarter live in low-income countries, largely in Africa. This is a dramatic change from just two decades ago when 93% of poor people lived in low-income countries.
A new development narrative is therefore needed that is about poor people, rather than poor countries. This narrative – as Andy Sumner argues in his article in The Broker – will need to focus on tackling inequality with a new multilateralism and shared responsibility rather than focusing exclusively on an absolute lack of resources in the poorest countries.
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